Stalled Engines: A Scenario In Which U.S And Europe Turn Inward And Globalization Stalls Research Papers Examples
Type of paper: Research Paper
Topic: World, Countries, Developing Country, Economics, Development, Intelligence, Business, Engine
There is a possibility of a stalled engine where the United States and Europe will no longer be willing to do business with other third world countries in Asia, Africa and Middle East. This case is due to the slow economic growth, corruption, poor governance and bad foreign relation between the West and the third world countries that keeps on developing. The global governance and international communities like the UN can no longer stand impunity in the third world countries and cope with the pandemics like corruption that has stalled growth in these nations. If this scenario happens to occur, the US and Europe are predicted to turn inward, and globalization is expected to stop (Galdorisi, 2013). This threatens the unity of nations and the growth of globalization and more so the trade between third world countries and the Western nations. A cold war can emerge if this prediction comes to reality.
In terms of security interests across nations, the US is likely to suffer a great deal if this scenario is realized. The US usually conducts some of its security operations like counter-terrorism and piracy control from other countries in Africa that have ports (National Intelligence Council, 2012). If they alienate themselves, these countries will no longer be able to partner with them in protecting their ships from piracy when they are in their waters. Terrorists that threaten the US embassies and citizens that dwell in other countries cannot be controlled if there is no effective relationship and communication between them and the third world nations (Barnett, 2012). The British army comes to train in third world with semi-arid environment that is deemed to provide a good experience for their course, all these operations will be stalled in a stalled engine environment.
Economy and identity interest
Interstate conflict can arise if this situation is allowed to come to reality. The global income which comes as a result of trade between the West and third world nations will go down by $27 trillion if stalled engines come to pass. That amount is more than the economies of both America and Europe put together at the moment (Galdorisi, 2013). The US and Europe might no longer be interested in global leadership initiatives, and this will create a vacuum for third world countries with poor structures to come and provide leadership direction. This will lower the standards of global leadership, and all kinds of atrocities can be committed.
In the stalled engine world, economy will weaken both in the developed and developing world. If rich countries wall off from the third world nations and live in a ‘gated community’, there will be absence for their market in the emerging economies and the developing nations will lose the abroad market too. US and Europe products as clothes, cars etc. are considered of good quality and thus, they are highly consumed in the developing nations (Dobby, 2011). In the stalled engine world, they will experience huge losses as a result of the lack of market (Garamone, 2012). Horticultural products and farm produce from African countries perform well in the European market and contribute a substantial amount to African economies and thus the stalled engine environment will paralyze the economies of these nations. Other economic activities like tourism will also be stalled in the stalled engine because traveling will be minimized. Citizens with dual citizenship will lose their identity due to the disunity, and they will be depressed with having to choose one country
The possible outcomes of this scenario is going to have a negative impact on the security, economy and foreign relationship between the West and the developing world and therefore I would recommend for the strengthening of the unity between nations rather than the alienation of the developed nations from others
Stronger and effective foreign relationships are important in maintaining the unity between nations and enhancing the economic benefits that they derive from each other. If the current disagreements between nations are not sorted, their bonds might weaken (Renski, 2014)
Barnett, T (2012). National security. Just how intelligent is the national intelligence council’s global trends 20130. Retrieved on 16th march, 2015 from: http://nation.time.com/2012/12/21/just-how-intelligent-is-the-national-intelligence-councils-global-trends-2030/
Dobby, C (2011). Engines stalled but world economy not yet on crash course. Retrieved on 16th march, 2015 from: http://business.financialpost.com/2011/08/25/engines-stalled-but-world-economy-not-yet-on-crash-course/
Galdorisi, G (2013). Global trends 2030: stalled engines. Retrieved on 16th march, 2015 from: http://www.defensemedianetwork.com/stories/global-trends-2030-stalled-engines/
Garamone, J (2012). DoD News. Intelligence council poses four worlds of the future. Retrieved on 16thMarch, 2015 from: http://www.defense.gov/news/newsarticle.aspx?id=118795
National intelligence council (2012). Global trends 2030: alternative worlds. Retrieved on 16th march, 2015 from: http://www.wfs.org/futurist/2013-issues-futurist/march-april-2013-vol-47-no-2/four- scenarios-for-2030
Renski, M. S. (2014). Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds (a review). Book Reviews, 9(1), 1-1.ss